Real Numbers
for High Spend Brands
You will know which of your reported conversions are real, and which channel deserves the next dollar.
Opening seconds. The full cut replaces this.
Fifteen minutes, Sydney time. For brands spending $20,000+ a month.
The argument
Five parts, ninety seconds.
Every account I open looks the same on the surface.
Working titles taken from your take filenames. Replace with the real line from each chapter once the marks are set.
The gap
Two numbers, one account.
Set the controls to your account's shape. The left figure is what the platforms report. The right is what survives a geo holdout.
Longer windows claim conversions that were already on their way.
People searching your name would mostly have found you anyway.
The higher this is, the more of your reporting is modelled, not observed.
Platforms are claiming 36% of revenue a holdout would attribute elsewhere.
Budget steered on unverified numbers: $35,790 per month
Illustrative model driven entirely by the inputs above, on a $100,000 monthly spend. Not client data and not a forecast. The real number for your account comes from a holdout, which is what the audit sets up.
Finding that number for your account is the first week of the audit.
Book a CallWhat the numbers have done elsewhere.
Career outcomes, owned personally. Employers are not named, so each is described by category.
Marketing cost to revenue at an online furniture retailer, which took the business to profitability. Return on investment moved from 4x to 6x.
Subscriber growth at a pet subscription business, from 3,000 to 7,000 active subscribers, with cohort LTV by source governing budget.
Year on year new customer growth at a pet care marketplace, while improving both CAC and LTV.
ROAS at a travel booking marketplace through integrated search, display and CRM.
New customer uplift from one TikTok and YouTube creator partnership.
A year in revenue leakage prevented by an AI system monitoring support conversations for off platform payment signals.
Three things, in order.
Diagnose
A full account and tracking review across Meta and Google. Where spend leaks, where attribution overstates, and which reported numbers do not survive a holdout.
Prioritise
A ranked fix list with the expected size of each fix, written so your team knows what to change on Monday without another meeting.
Operate
If you want ongoing help, weekly senior oversight with async access in between. Your team keeps running the day to day.
Services
Two ways to work together.
Paid Media and Attribution Audit
- Full account review across Meta and Google, structure through to creative
- Tracking and attribution gap analysis, server side and platform reported variance
- Prioritised fix list ranked by expected impact against effort
- Reporting dashboard recommendation your team can run without me
- One working session to walk the team through every finding
Fractional Head of Paid Media
- Weekly senior oversight of strategy, budget and measurement
- Async access in between for decisions that cannot wait
- No lock in contract
- By invitation after an audit, so we both know the account first
What $5,000 actually buys.
Seven checks. Open any of them to see what it looks for and what it usually turns up at this spend level.
Conversion tracking integrity
Attribution window and modelling settings
Branded and non-branded separation
Structure and budget concentration
Creative testing velocity
Retargeting incrementality
Reporting stack and source of truth
Is this built for you?
Move the slider to your monthly paid media spend. The honest answer updates as you go, including when it is no.
Across Meta, Google and everything else combined.
The audit is the right entry.
At this level there is usually enough spend for a measurement error to be expensive, and enough structure for a fix list to pay for itself inside a quarter.
Client results.
Questions
Answered before you ask.
Do you guarantee a ROAS or CAC number?
Is this an agency?
What happens after the audit?
Will you take over campaign management?
What do you need from me to start?
How quickly do you reply?
Book a call
Fifteen minutes, no pitch.
Tell me what is not working and what you are spending. If we are not a fit I will say so on the call rather than sell you an audit you do not need.
15 minutes with me
No juniors, no discovery team, no qualifying call before the real call. You get the person who would run the audit.
Book a CallPrefer to write? italo@italocamargo.com